Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$22.31
-49.52% vs spot
Sell
Spot price
$44.20
Mkt cap $50.74B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$46.57
+5.36% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
18 / 19
15 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
FAST · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
FAST · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $31.19 | $21.95 – $47.21 | -29.44% | 22.3% | WACC 7.1%, g₀=10.7%, gₗ=3.0% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $26.67 | $19.38 – $38.51 | -39.66% | 16.8% | kₑ 7.8%, g₀=10.7%, gₗ=3.0% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $18.44 | $15.26 – $23.28 | -58.28% | — | D₁ 0.86, kₑ 7.8%, gₗ 3.0% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $25.36 | $18.77 – $35.41 | -42.62% | — | D₀ 0.86, g₀=10.7%, gₗ=3.0%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $21.96 | $18.67 – $25.26 | -50.31% | 5.6% | 5y schedule 10.7% → 3.0%, kₑ 7.8% | high |
| Residual income | income | $5.24 | $4.61 – $5.87 | -88.15% | 11.2% | BV 3.38, ROE 31.9% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $29.82 | $26.24 – $33.40 | -32.53% | 7.8% | IC 4.1B, WACC 7.1% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $21.80 | $19.18 – $24.42 | -50.68% | 13.4% | EPS 1.09 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $14.06 | $11.95 – $16.17 | -68.19% | 3.4% | Rev/sh 7.03 × peer P/S 2.00 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $18.31 | $16.11 – $20.51 | -58.57% | 11.2% | EBITDA × peer 13.0× − ND 0.2B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $22.00 | $18.70 – $25.30 | -50.22% | 2.2% | EBIT × peer 15.6× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $11.81 | $10.04 – $13.58 | -73.28% | 2.2% | Sales × peer 1.70× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $14.88 | $12.65 – $17.12 | -66.33% | 1.1% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 13.7% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $15.05 | $13.24 – $16.85 | -65.96% | 0.6% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $32.16 | $27.34 – $36.98 | -27.24% | 0.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $11.67 | $9.92 – $13.42 | -73.61% | 0.6% | PE = g (10.7) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $3.38 | $3.21 – $3.55 | -92.35% | 1.1% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | $2.15 | $1.83 – $2.48 | -95.13% | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g 18.7% · Aggressive — well above sector trend | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (0.74)β | × 0.74 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 7.78% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 1.40% |
| Effective tax ratet | 24.0% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 1.07% |
| Equity weight$3.9B | 89.9% |
| Debt weight$0.4B | 10.1% |
| WACC | 7.10% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 11.30% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 13.66% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 8.07% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | 8.04% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 6.45% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 10.70% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.97% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2022-12-30)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Industrials (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $46.57
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.