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Arphra/News/Predictions
News

Predictions

Live prediction-market events from Polymarket, ranked by 24h volume. Yes-prices read as implied probability.

Polymarket · world-cup-winner24h vol $103,418,729
World Cup Winner
  • Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?17%
  • Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?0%
  • Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?1%
  • Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?11%
resolves Jul 20, 2026
Polymarket · us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by24h vol $8,495,692
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?0%
  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?0%
  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?0%
  • US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?25%
resolves Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket · democratic-presidential-nominee-202824h vol $2,527,226
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
  • Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%
  • Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%
  • Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1%
  • Will Person P win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
resolves Nov 07, 2028
Polymarket · presidential-election-winner-202824h vol $2,198,529
Presidential Election Winner 2028
  • Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?1%
  • Will Person BG win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
  • Will Person CZ win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
  • Will Person Q win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
resolves Nov 07, 2028
Polymarket · microstrategy-sell-any-bitcoin-in-202524h vol $2,077,768
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
  • MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?0%
  • MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?91%
  • MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?0%
  • MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?73%
resolves Jan 01, 2027
Polymarket · colombia-presidential-election-1st-round-winner24h vol $1,814,464
Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?
  • Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?0%
  • Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?0%
  • Will Claudia López win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?0%
  • Will David Luna Sánchez win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?0%
resolves May 31, 2026
Polymarket · iran-ceasefire-continues-through24h vol $1,607,654
Iran ceasefire continues through...?
  • Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?100%
  • Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?0%
  • Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?0%
  • Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?0%
Polymarket · us-x-cuba-diplomatic-meeting-by24h vol $1,566,174
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?
  • US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?100%
  • US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?100%
resolves Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket · colombia-presidential-election24h vol $1,510,831
Colombia Presidential Election
  • Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?0%
  • Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?0%
  • Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?0%
  • Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?0%
resolves Jun 21, 2026
Polymarket · strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may24h vol $1,478,324
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
  • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?0%
resolves May 31, 2026
Polymarket · 2026-nba-champion24h vol $1,388,328
2026 NBA Champion
  • Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?0%
  • Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?0%
  • Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?0%
  • Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?0%
resolves Jul 01, 2026
Polymarket · 2026-mens-french-open-winner24h vol $1,254,716
2026 Men's French Open Winner
  • Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?0%
  • Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's French Open?0%
  • Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?0%
  • Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?0%
resolves Jun 07, 2026
Polymarket · atp-cobolli-svajda-2026-05-3124h vol $1,253,800
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda
  • Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda89%
  • Roland Garros ATP: Completed Match: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda93%
  • Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Svajda76%
  • Cobolli vs. Svajda: Match O/U 36.537%
resolves Jun 07, 2026
Polymarket · mlb-nyy-oak-2026-05-3124h vol $1,188,788
New York Yankees vs. Athletics
  • New York Yankees vs. Athletics100%
  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Athletics100%
  • New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5100%
  • New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5100%
resolves Jun 07, 2026
Polymarket · mlb-sf-col-2026-05-3124h vol $1,133,340
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies
  • San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies100%
  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies100%
  • Spread: San Francisco Giants (-9.5)100%
  • San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 23.5100%
resolves Jun 07, 2026
Polymarket · bitcoin-above-on-june-1-202624h vol $1,079,501
Bitcoin above ___ on June 1?
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?0%
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?0%
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?100%
  • Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 1?99%
resolves Jun 01, 2026
Polymarket · iem-cologne-major-2026-winner24h vol $1,066,680
IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner
  • Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?3%
  • Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?2%
  • Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026?1%
  • Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?1%
resolves Jun 21, 2026
Polymarket · mlb-ari-sea-2026-05-3124h vol $1,066,365
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners
  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners0%
  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners0%
  • Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 3.5100%
  • Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)0%
resolves Jun 07, 2026
Polymarket · what-price-will-bitcoin-hit-in-may-202624h vol $1,050,303
What price will Bitcoin hit in May?
  • Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?0%
  • Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?0%
  • Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?0%
  • Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?0%
resolves Jun 01, 2026
Polymarket · peru-presidential-election-winner24h vol $1,014,418
Peru Presidential Election Winner
  • Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?1%
  • Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%
  • Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%
  • Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?0%
resolves Apr 12, 2026
Polymarket · fed-decision-in-june-82524h vol $1,000,067
Fed Decision in June?
  • Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?1%
  • Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?1%
  • Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?1%
  • Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?98%
resolves Jun 17, 2026
Polymarket · us-announces-new-iran-agreementceasefire-extension-by24h vol $973,486
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?
  • US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?0%
  • US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?65%
  • US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?0%
  • US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?0%
Polymarket · mlb-phi-lad-2026-05-3124h vol $910,438
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers0%
  • Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers0%
  • Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-5.5)100%
  • Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-6.5)100%
resolves Jun 07, 2026
Polymarket · brazil-presidential-election24h vol $762,189
Brazil Presidential Election
  • Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?0%
  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?41%
  • Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?1%
  • Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?6%
resolves Oct 04, 2026
Polymarket · elon-musk-of-tweets-may-26-june-224h vol $739,546
Elon Musk # tweets May 26 - June 2, 2026?
  • Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?0%
  • Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?0%
  • Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?0%
  • Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?0%
resolves Jun 02, 2026
Polymarket · iran-agrees-to-surrender-enriched-uranium-stockpile-by24h vol $736,601
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
  • Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?0%
  • Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?39%
  • Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?12%
  • Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?0%
resolves Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket · next-french-presidential-election24h vol $726,094
Next French Presidential Election
  • Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?6%
  • Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?1%
  • Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?3%
  • Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?1%
resolves Apr 30, 2027
Polymarket · iran-closes-its-airspace-by24h vol $693,952
Iran closes its airspace by...?
  • Iran closes its airspace by May 8?0%
  • Iran closes its airspace by May 31?0%
  • Iran closes its airspace by May 15?0%
  • Iran closes its airspace by May 6?0%
resolves May 31, 2026
Polymarket · lol-al-we-2026-06-0124h vol $693,537
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
  • LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs84%
  • LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner73%
  • LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner71%
  • LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner71%
resolves Jun 01, 2026
Polymarket · fif-bra-pan-2026-05-3124h vol $638,627
Brazil vs. Panama
  • Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31?100%
  • Will Brazil vs. Panama end in a draw?0%
  • Will Panama win on 2026-05-31?0%
resolves May 31, 2026
Source: gamma-api.polymarket.com · cached 5 min server-side. No API key required.