Overview
Discounted cash flow
Income / accounting-based
Multiples & assets
Scenario
Toolbox
Weighted blend
$196.87
+99.46% vs spot
Strong Buy
Spot price
$98.70
Mkt cap $13.73B
subtle cardAnalyst PT consensus
$141.75
+43.62% vs spot
subtle cardMethods covered
17 / 19
15 in blend
subtle cardFootball field
GPC · fair-value range by method
Method comparison
GPC · fair value by valuation framework
| Method | Category | Fair value | Range | vs spot | Weight | Driver | Conf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DCF · FCFF | dcf | $354.99 | $181.02 – $915.60 | +259.66% | 22.3% | WACC 3.9%, g₀=25.0%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DCF · FCFE | dcf | $80.62 | $59.94 – $112.27 | -18.32% | 16.8% | kₑ 7.6%, g₀=25.0%, gₗ=2.0% | high |
| DDM · Gordon | ddm | $69.12 | $58.69 – $84.08 | -29.97% | — | D₁ 3.81, kₑ 7.6%, gₗ 2.0% | med |
| DDM · H-model | ddm | $147.06 | $116.22 – $191.24 | +48.99% | — | D₀ 3.81, g₀=25.0%, gₗ=2.0%, H 5y | med |
| DDM · multi-stage | ddm | $113.61 | $96.57 – $130.65 | +15.10% | 5.6% | 5y schedule 25.0% → 2.0%, kₑ 7.6% | high |
| Residual income | income | $26.02 | $22.90 – $29.14 | -73.64% | 11.2% | BV 30.00, ROE 1.5% → kₑ | high |
| EVA / MVA | income | $950.95 | $836.84 – $1,065.07 | +863.48% | 7.8% | IC 12.2B, WACC 3.9% | high |
| P/E · sector | multiple | $9.40 | $8.27 – $10.53 | -90.48% | 13.4% | EPS 0.47 × peer P/E 20.0 | med |
| P/S · sector | multiple | $295.57 | $251.23 – $339.90 | +199.46% | 3.4% | Rev/sh 164.20 × peer P/S 1.80 | med |
| EV / EBITDA | multiple | $13.52 | $11.90 – $15.14 | -86.30% | 11.2% | EBITDA × peer 13.0× − ND 7.8B | high |
| EV / EBIT | multiple | $75.35 | $64.04 – $86.65 | -23.66% | 2.2% | EBIT × peer 15.6× − ND | med |
| EV / Sales | multiple | $198.54 | $168.76 – $228.32 | +101.16% | 2.2% | Sales × peer 1.53× − ND | med |
| PEG-anchored | multiple | $18.80 | $15.98 – $21.62 | -80.95% | 1.1% | PEG=1, fwd EPS g 1536.3% | med |
| Earnings power | intrinsic | $155.21 | $136.59 – $173.84 | +57.26% | 0.6% | NOPAT / WACC, no growth | med |
| Graham revised | intrinsic | $22.49 | $19.12 – $25.86 | -77.22% | 0.6% | EPS×(8.5+2g)·4.4/Y | low |
| Lynch P/E=g | intrinsic | $11.75 | $9.99 – $13.51 | -88.10% | 0.6% | PE = g (25.0) | low |
| Book NAV | asset | $30.00 | $28.50 – $31.51 | -69.60% | 1.1% | (Assets − Liabilities) / Shares | high |
| Liquidation | asset | — | — | — | — | Cash 100% + non-cash 70% − Liab. | low |
| Reverse DCF | reverse | — | — | — | — | Implied g 1.5% · Conservative — modest implied growth | high |
Cost-of-capital build-up
CAPM cost of equity, after-tax cost of debt, WACC. Risk-free as of 2026-05-12.
| Risk-free rate (US 10y Treasury)rf | 4.46% |
| Equity beta (0.71)β | × 0.71 |
| Equity risk premiumERP | 4.46% |
| Cost of equity (CAPM)kₑ | 7.62% |
| Pre-tax cost of debtkd | 1.98% |
| Effective tax ratet | 0.0% |
| After-tax cost of debt | 1.98% |
| Equity weight$4.4B | 34.9% |
| Debt weight$8.3B | 65.1% |
| WACC | 3.95% |
Growth assumptions
Blended forward growth used as DCF default; terminal pegged to long-run nominal GDP.
| Analyst forward revenue growthFMP | 4.73% |
| Analyst forward EPS growthFMP | 1536.26% |
| Historical 5y revenue CAGRFY | 6.53% |
| Historical 5y EPS CAGRFY | -47.59% |
| Sustainable g (ROE × retention)Δ | 0.00% |
| Blended near-term growth (g₀) | 25.00% |
| Terminal growth (gₗ) | 2.00% |
Sources
- FMP /analyst-estimates— 8 rows(as of 2022-12-30)
- Treasury rates · 10y— 4.46% rf(as of 2026-05-12)
- market_risk_premium · DB— 4.46% ERP(as of 2026-05-13)
- Sector multiple defaults— Consumer Cyclical (live sector PE unavailable)
- FMP /price-target-consensus— mean $141.75
This page is generated by a quantitative valuation engine for research purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Methodology follows standard CFA / Damodaran frameworks; assumptions are driven by analyst consensus from Financial Modeling Prep and reported financial statements.